Some food prices have fallen – but inflation expected to rise from here
Food prices are rising at their slowest rate in nearly two years, as the cost of some staples such as margarine and sugar have gone down.
Supermarket price wars have helped drive down prices in the year to June, the industry says, as retailers work to tempt customers with summer deals.
Inflation in the UK overall has fallen to 2.6% in the year to June, down from 2.8% in the year to May, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), driven largely by lower fuel and food prices.
June's figure will be welcomed by new Prime Minister Andy Burnham and his government, but analysts warn the fall is temporary, as higher energy prices in July are expected to push inflation back up.
Lower fuel costs - particularly lower diesel prices - also pushed inflation down, with prices at the pump falling for the first time since the start of the war in the Middle East.
Clothing costs fell as well due to the summer sales, with many retailers offering larger discounts than last year.
Falling food pricesFood and non-alcoholic beverage inflation fell by 0.2% month-to-month, with sugar, chocolate and confectionery seeing the largest drop in price.
Looking at inflation over the year, beef and veal price inflation eased from 9.4% in the 12 months to May to 5.1% in the year to June, while edible offal - which includes things like liver, kidneys and tongue - slowed from 9.2% to 3.4% over the same period.
Some other food items were cheaper, according to ONS data. Pizza and quiches, for example, fell by 6.7% in the year to June. Margarine dropped by 1.9% in the same period.
Food inflation often has a lag of up to 13 months due to the supply chain, so any effects from the war in Iran could still be yet to come.
Fuel prices at the pump fell in June after the US and Iran agreed to halt military operations and allow the key Strait of Hormuz to re-open.
But the recent resumption of hostilities and a new jump in crude oil prices means inflation could spike again in the coming months.
Original Headline
Some food prices have fallen – but inflation expected to rise from here